Editorial illustration for the lesson on baccarat side bets and why most of them are a tax, in the Mayfair Casino School.
Editorial illustration for the lesson on baccarat side bets and why most of them are a tax, in the Mayfair Casino School.

Baccarat side bets and why most of them are a tax

Dragon Bonus, Lucky 6, Tie, Pairs: the edges and which ones to leave alone.

AC
Annabel Cavendish
Editor in Chief · Reviewed 14 May 2026
Annabel
0:000:00

Welcome to the lesson on baccarat side bets.

I'm Annabel, and the first thing to understand about baccarat side bets is why they exist.

The Banker bet at one point zero six percent is one of the lowest house-edge propositions in the casino.

Side bets are the mechanism by which the casino increases its revenue from the same table without touching the main game's structure.

Each circle on the layout beyond the main betting positions carries an edge substantially higher than one point zero six percent.

That's not an accident.

It's the design.

The Tie is the most prominent.

It pays eight to one when both Player and Banker finish with the same score.

You'll find it on every standard Punto Banco layout in London, including at the Hippodrome Casino at Leicester Square and at Les Ambassadeurs at Hamilton Place.

On an eight-deck shoe, Ties occur approximately nine point five one percent of the time.

The table pays eight to one.

The house edge is fourteen point three six percent.

Some tables offer nine to one, which reduces this to approximately four point eight five percent.

Even at nine to one, you're paying more than four times the cost per pound of a Banker main bet.

The Tie is present as a betting option; it's not present as a rational one.

Player Pair and Banker Pair are the next most commonly seen.

They pay eleven to one when the first two cards of the respective hand share the same rank.

The probability of a pair in the first two cards of an eight-deck shoe is approximately seven point four seven percent.

A fair payout for that probability would be roughly twelve and a half to one.

The table pays eleven to one.

The resulting house edge is approximately ten point three six percent on both pair bets.

A six and a seven feel close.

They're not the same rank.

The probability of any specific rank pairing exactly is lower than intuition suggests.

Perfect Pair, where both cards must share the same rank and the same suit, pays twenty-five to one at common configurations.

The house edge is approximately thirteen percent.

The payout is more dramatic.

The edge is worse.

Dragon Bonus is the side bet that most reputable baccarat analysts consider the most defensible alternative to the main bet.

It pays on two conditions: a natural win on the relevant hand, or a non-natural win by a margin of four or more points.

Paytables vary, but a common version pays one to one for a natural win and scales upward to around thirty to one for a nine-point winning margin.

The house edge on the Player Dragon Bonus is approximately two point six five percent.

On the Banker Dragon Bonus, it's approximately nine point three seven percent under common paytable structures.

Two point six five percent is not good.

But it is less than a third of the Tie's edge and about a quarter of the pair bets' edges.

If you're inclined toward side bets and have decided to allocate a specific budget to one, the Player Dragon Bonus is where the case is least weak.

The Banker Dragon Bonus at nine point three seven percent is considerably less attractive despite being on the same side as your main bet.

Lucky Six pays when Banker wins with a final total of exactly six.

The house edge on standard configurations runs approximately ten to thirteen percent depending on the specific payout structure.

It's popular because it offers a route to a larger payout from a single round without requiring understanding of the Dragon Bonus margin tables.

The practical approach for a session at any London baccarat table: Banker on the main circles, commission paid, all side bet circles empty.

If you want to include occasional side bets for variety, define a fixed budget per shoe and treat it as an entertainment cost, not a betting line.

The Player Dragon Bonus at two point six five percent is the most defensible position in the side bet landscape.

Everything else costs considerably more per pound than the main game.

The main bet is already well-structured.

Don't supplement it with instruments that are four to fourteen times more expensive.

Know the edges.

Keep the side bets optional.

Side bets in baccarat exist because the main game, at 1.06% on Banker, is one of the lowest house-edge propositions in the casino. A low-edge game generates relatively little per hour for the house. Side bets are the mechanism by which the casino increases its revenue from the same table and the same players without changing the main game's rules.

That's not a criticism of anyone for occasionally playing a side bet. It's the economic context worth understanding before you place one. Every side bet on the layout is there for a reason, and the reason is that its edge is substantially higher than the main game's edge.

The Tie bet: the one to walk past

The Tie bet pays 8-to-1 when both the Player and Banker hands end with the same score. It appears on every standard Punto Banco layout in London, including the tables at the Hippodrome Casino at Leicester Square and at Les Ambassadeurs at Hamilton Place. It is, by a considerable margin, the worst standard bet in the game.

On an 8-deck shoe, Ties occur approximately 9.51% of the time. The fair payout for a 9.51% event would be approximately 9.5-to-1. The table pays 8-to-1. The house edge is 14.36% in our analysis standard 8-deck analysis. Some tables offer a 9-to-1 Tie payout; this reduces the edge to approximately 4.85%, which is an improvement but still more than four times the Banker bet edge. The Tie at 8-to-1 should not appear in your session plan. The Tie at 9-to-1 is marginal. Neither version is attractive alongside a 1.06% alternative sitting one betting circle away on the same layout.

Some players place the occasional Tie as session variance: they accept the edge as a cost for the possibility of an 8-to-1 win on a given round. If you're inclined to do this, define a fixed budget for it per shoe (say, three small Tie bets per shoe) and treat that as an entertainment cost rather than a line bet. Don't let the Tie become your primary bet by drift.

Pair bets: pairs are rarer than they feel

Player Pair and Banker Pair pay 11-to-1 when the first two cards dealt to the respective hand are the same rank (any combination of suits). The probability of a pair in the first two cards of an 8-deck shoe is approximately 7.47%. A fair payout for a 7.47% event would be roughly 12.4-to-1. The table pays 11-to-1. The resulting house edge is approximately 10.36% on both pair bets.

Pair bets feel as though they should hit more frequently than they do. The intuition is inflated by near-misses: seeing a 6 and a 7 dealt feels close to a pair. It isn't; rank-specific pairing is specific. At 10.36% edge, you're paying approximately ten times the cost per unit of a Banker main bet for the entertainment. Over a session with many pair-bet opportunities, this adds up quickly.

Perfect Pair, a variation that pays 25-to-1 only when both cards of a pair share the same suit (for example, both the 7 of hearts), carries an edge of approximately 13.03% in our analysis side bet analysis. The payout sounds impressive; the edge is not.

Dragon Bonus: the side bet with the most legitimate case

Dragon Bonus is a side bet available on many UK Punto Banco tables, offered separately for the Player hand and the Banker hand. It pays on two conditions: a natural win (8 or 9 on the first two cards of the relevant hand), and a non-natural win by a large margin (4 or more points difference in the final scores). The paytable varies by table, but a typical version pays 1-to-1 for a natural win, scaling to higher amounts (up to 30-to-1 on some tables for a 9-point winning margin) for large non-natural wins.

Our Dragon Bonus analysis puts the house edge at approximately 2.65% on the Player Dragon Bonus and approximately 9.37% on the Banker Dragon Bonus under a common paytable structure. The Player Dragon Bonus at 2.65% is meaningfully lower-edge than most baccarat side bets, though it's still 2.5 times the Banker main bet edge. If you're inclined toward side bets and understand the cost, this is the one where the case is least weak. The Banker Dragon Bonus at 9.37% is considerably less attractive despite being on the same side as your main bet.

Lucky 6 and other market additions

Lucky 6 is a side bet that pays when Banker wins with a final total of exactly 6. A two-card Banker-6 win typically pays 12-to-1; a three-card Banker-6 win typically pays 20-to-1 (though paytables vary considerably by operator and region). The house edge on the standard version runs approximately 10.3% to 13%, depending on the specific paytable in use. Lucky 6 is popular because it offers a route to a larger payout from a single round without requiring understanding of the Dragon Bonus margin tables.

Other side bets you may encounter include Big and Small (predicting whether the round will use 4 cards or 5-6 cards total, with edges that vary considerably), Royal Match (specific royal card combinations), and various operator-specific propositions. None of them competes with the Banker main bet on edge terms. The our baccarat analysis side bets catalogue covers most of the variants you're likely to encounter, with full edge calculations for each paytable variant.

The practical approach

The cleanest session plan at any London baccarat table is this: Banker bet on the main circles, pay the commission, all side bet circles empty. If you're playing at the Hippodrome's high-limit room and the side bet circles are there, you're not required to use them. The commission on Banker wins is the entire cost of playing the best-available main game bet; you don't need to supplement it with higher-edge propositions to have a complete session.

If variety is part of the point for you, the Player Dragon Bonus at roughly 2.65% is the most defensible option. Set a defined budget for it per shoe, place it when it appeals, and don't let occasional side bets become the session's financial story. Use the baccarat shoe simulator to model sessions with and without side bets and compare the variance and expected cost over 50 simulated shoes.

Key numbers

Side betTypical payoutHouse edge (8-deck)
Tie (8:1)8:114.36%
Tie (9:1)9:14.85%
Player Pair11:110.36%
Banker Pair11:110.36%
Perfect Pair25:1~13.03%
Player Dragon BonusUp to 30:1~2.65%
Banker Dragon BonusUp to 30:1~9.37%
Lucky 6 (typical paytable)12:1 / 20:1~10-13%
Banker main (for comparison)0.95:11.06%

Sources: our in-house edge analysis.

Resume
Next lesson